2026-09-15 · 5 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-09-15.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 77 | +$10258.38 | +14.41R | +0.187R | 55.3% | 2.44 |
| − single best + single worst | 75 | +$8966.15 | +12.59R | +0.168R | 55.4% | 2.39 |
| − top 4 + bottom 4 (≈5% each tail) | 69 | +$7094.56 | +9.96R | +0.144R | 55.9% | 2.42 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed RETO +$1938.02 (best) · TPST −$645.79 (worst). Top 4 + bottom 4 — removed 4 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Broad green session: still clearly green after trimming the biggest movers, so the day was a stack of small plus-EV decisions compounding — not a few home runs.
Session verdict
RETO was the day's engine: +$8.49k gross across 31 positions, all entered between 11:35am and 4:04pm, well after the first of its 30 halts at 10:43am. No bars survive for RETO's open/high/close today, but the halt count alone — 30 separate stops, one roughly every 10-20 minutes from 10:43am through 3:49pm — tells you this was extreme, repeated-resume volatility, and your largest single win, +$1.94k, came at 4:04pm on the very last entry of the day, with 19 wins against 11 losses across the name.
That is a stock you read well as it moved, not one you happened to catch once.
VEEA is the clean offer-vs-take case: open $4.33, high $7.49 at 12:29pm for a 73% move, closing at $5.71 with 44% of that move retained. You ran 28 positions, 27 of them before the 12:29pm high, for +$2.74k gross — a real share of a real move, anchored by a +$1.17k position at 9:52am and a +$1.15k position at 10:01am, both above VWAP and near the day's high at the time.
WAFU and IPW show the other side of sizing to conviction: WAFU moved +121.8% from open to its 4:38pm high but gave almost all of it back, closing up just 4.5% with only 4% of the move retained, and your 3 positions there netted +$443 — appropriately light exposure to a stock that round-tripped. IPW moved +113.3% to a 3:06pm high and held 30% of it at the close; your single position, entered before the high, made +$360 — a small, correctly-sized bite of a real move.
The three losing names were low-quality moves and you traded them lightly and lost lightly. SUGP topped at +16.2% by 9:44am, then gave back the entire move and more to close -37.5% versus the open — your 3 entries, all at the 9:30-9:31am open, before that top, lost a combined $308.
TPST barely moved at all, +1.5% to a 6:26am high, and closed down 5.5% — your 3 entries came at 4:23-4:25pm, hours after that early high, for the day's largest single loss at -$646 and -$1.23k total; a case of a stock that offered almost nothing being traded anyway. MEDS is the outlier: it moved +330.2% to a 1:32pm high behind 5 halts, held 25% of that at the close, and yet your 6 positions there, split 3-3, only netted -$159 — a large offered move that you neither captured nor lost meaningfully in.
Of the 12 runners on today's list, you traded 8; of the 4 you skipped, only 1 moved 30% or more (topping near +53.6%) and none of the 30%-plus movers held even half their gain into the close, so the untraded pool cost you little in absolute terms. Across the trailing week, the pattern on hold-versus-fade continues to track halts and timing: today's two biggest holders, VEEA (44% retained, 1 halt) and NAMI (66% retained, 0 halts, high at 7:01am), both made their highs early or mid-morning, while the two total-fade names, SUGP and TPST, made their highs before 9:45am with no halts recorded at all — low-halt, early-high names giving back the whole move is a recurring shape in this data, and your only real exposure to that shape (SUGP, TPST) is exactly where you lost.
Your own lane data confirms where the money came from: positions with 2+ halts before entry made +$8.33k across 37 positions versus +$1.99k on the other 38, and the 8 positions held 30+ seconds after 2+ halts (tier A+, historically +10.9 per $1k) made +$5.79k today alone, including the 4:04pm RETO entry held 104 seconds for +$1.93k and the 1:30pm RETO entry held 931 seconds for +$877. The 29 positions in the validated-DONT lane — 2+ halts before entry but scalped under 30 seconds — still made +$2.53k today, but that lane has run -3.3 per $1k over the study, so today's result there ran well above its own history rather than because of it.