2026-09-14 · 4 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-09-14.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 23 | +$1767.88 | +2.55R | +0.111R | 65.2% | 2.62 |
| − single best + single worst | 21 | +$1576.53 | +2.27R | +0.108R | 66.7% | 2.91 |
| − top 2 + bottom 2 (≈5% each tail) | 19 | +$1393.36 | +2.01R | +0.106R | 68.4% | 3.35 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed FTFT +$458.38 (best) · FTFT −$267.02 (worst). Top 2 + bottom 2 — removed 2 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Broad green session: still clearly green after trimming the biggest movers, so the day was a stack of small plus-EV decisions compounding — not a few home runs.
Session verdict
FTFT was the day's headline mover — open $3.30, high $9.48 at 3:42pm for a 187.3% open-to-high swing, closing at $8.04 with 77% of that move still intact. You ran 15 positions in it for +$849 gross, 9 wins against 6 losses, largest single win +$458 at 9:56am and worst loss -$267 at 9:34am, but every one of those 15 entries landed between 9:32am and 10:31am — all before the 3:42pm high.
You were done with FTFT more than five hours before it made its actual top and left roughly another $6 a share on the table after you exited. The $849 you took was real money out of the early-session volatility, but it was a fraction of what the stock ultimately offered later in the day.
BMGL told the opposite story. It only moved 14.4% from open ($8.06) to high ($9.22) at 9:52am, then gave the entire move back and more, closing at $7.14 for a -79% retention of the open-to-high swing.
You still turned +$919 gross on 8 positions there, 6 wins and 2 losses, with your single largest win of the day, +$416, landing at 9:51am right near the top before the collapse. That's the more impressive result of the two: a modest mover that reversed hard, and you were positioned on the right side of the reversal rather than caught in it.
Put together, +$1.77k on a day where the only two names you traded split into a huge move you exited early (FTFT) and a small move you read correctly at the top (BMGL) is a fair result relative to what was actually available. Of the 3 runners today you didn't touch, only 1 moved 30% or more from the open (max +42.9%), and it held none of that move into the close — so the opportunity cost sitting outside your two names was limited; you weren't leaving a stack of clean, held moves on the table.
Across the last week, the runners with afternoon highs stand out: three names made their high after 3:40pm — FTFT today at 3:42pm (77% retained), plus two untraded names at 3:42pm and 3:44pm (60% and 81% retained) — all three held 60% or more of their move. By contrast, five of seven runners whose high came before 8am this week retained under 30% of their move, several going negative.
BMGL's 9:52am high doesn't line up with either group directly, but its outcome — total give-back, -79% retained — matches the fade behavior seen in the early-session names, and selling into that top rather than holding through it was the right read given the pattern. FTFT, meanwhile, is exactly the kind of name that historically holds its gains once the high comes in the afternoon, and today you weren't there for that stretch.
None of today's 23 positions fell into a validated A+/A or DONT lane — all sat outside those tiers, and the halts-before-entry split was uniform (0 positions with 2+ halts before entry, 23 with fewer than 2, +$1.76k net). Your largest individual trades — FTFT +$458 at 9:56am entering at or through the high on a 6th-plus attempt, and BMGL +$416 at 9:51am with one halt already in and price 2-5% under the high — both came from setups your own study hasn't yet validated as A+/A or DONT, so today's profit came from execution within neutral lanes rather than from playing a proven edge.