2026-08-26 · 4 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-08-26.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 21 | +$1415.81 | +1.74R | +0.083R | 57.1% | 1.66 |
| − single best + single worst | 19 | +$1258.54 | +1.54R | +0.081R | 57.9% | 1.79 |
| − top 2 + bottom 2 (≈5% each tail) | 17 | +$945.12 | +1.16R | +0.068R | 58.8% | 1.78 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed XPON +$712.54 (best) · XPON −$555.28 (worst). Top 2 + bottom 2 — removed 2 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Broad green session: still clearly green after trimming the biggest movers, so the day was a stack of small plus-EV decisions compounding — not a few home runs.
Session verdict
{"dayVerdict":"Today's fills, unlike the prior session's DAIC losses, produced a net $1.42k across 21 positions with a 57.1% win rate, but the tickers traded don't map cleanly onto today's runner list — none of the five stocks in the market-context pack for 2026-08-26 (XPON, SOAR, VCIG, CRE, YYGH, DAIC) show up with obvious size in the fills breakdown, and the day's shape — 21 small positions, zero trades reaching even 1R in either direction, average win $296.51 against average loss -$238.03 — reads as a day of many small decisions rather than a day defined by capturing or missing a specific big move. That in itself is a data point: today's runners offered real ranges (XPON +84.2% open-to-high at 10:15am before closing at only 51% retained, CRE +41.2% at 10:26am holding 29%, DAIC swinging to a 16:15 high with the move fully erased to -107% retained by the close), and if the trader's day was built mostly around smaller, choppier names instead of chasing those, the flat-to-positive outcome with no outsized loser is a reasonable trade-off against a day where the single biggest opportunity, XPON's 84% run, gave back half its move by the close anyway.
Looking at the price-bucket and window splits, the trader's better outcomes clustered in the $3-5 and $5-10 buckets (100% WR on 2 trades for $727.95, and 61.5% WR on 13 trades for $693.96) while the $10-15 and $100+ buckets were where money leaked out (-$130.91 on the single $100+ trade, only 40% WR in the $10-15 group). The 9:30-10:00am window was the day's worst, at -$579.22 on 4 trades and 50% WR, while 10:00-10:30am was the best single window at +$1.30k on 7 trades and 71.4% WR — but neither shows the kind of persistent across-day one-sidedness needed to call it a real pattern rather than today's noise.
Against the trailing week, the runner list shows a familiar split between stocks that kept their move and stocks that bled it back. Of the eleven runners with pre-market highs (before 8:00am ET) in this data — SOAR, VCIG, YYGH, TNMG, SWVL, BDRX, RITR, LOOP, OMH, ZNB, BIVI — nine closed with pctOfMoveRetained below 10%, and six of those were outright negative, meaning the open-to-high move fully or more than reversed by the close.
Meanwhile the runners whose highs printed mid-morning or later — CRE at 10:26am (29% retained), XOS at 11:22am (71% retained), JEM at 11:56am (46% retained), USDE at 16:20am (61% retained) — held meaningfully more of their gains. The trader's day didn't touch any of these directly by name in the provided context, but the aggregate pattern — early highs bleed, later highs hold — is worth watching given DAIC's own history in this trader's fills of reversing hard from an early or late-session spike.
Twenty-two halts on DAIC on 8/24 and three on SDOT on 8/21 stand out as the volatility extremes in this seven-day window, both signalling exactly the kind of violent, wide-range action this trader is drawn to; DAIC's 8/24 session ran 479.5% open-to-high before closing up 60.1%, only 13% of the peak retained, a reminder that even the most explosive range doesn't guarantee a capturable close. None of the five names in today's context carry halts of that magnitude — only XPON's single halt at 10:15am registers — so today's runner set, on the whole, offered a milder opportunity set than the extremes seen earlier in the week."}