2026-08-03 · 4 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-08-03.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 61 | +$1985.10 | +2.61R | +0.043R | 52.5% | 1.24 |
| − single best + single worst | 59 | +$1816.01 | +2.39R | +0.040R | 52.5% | 1.26 |
| − top 4 + bottom 4 (≈5% each tail) | 53 | +$1208.55 | +1.59R | +0.030R | 52.8% | 1.26 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed STKH +$1479.56 (best) · EZRA −$1310.48 (worst). Top 4 + bottom 4 — removed 4 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Broad green session: still clearly green after trimming the biggest movers, so the day was a stack of small plus-EV decisions compounding — not a few home runs.
Session verdict
{"dayVerdict":"Today's real story was EZRA, and it was a split decision. The stock opened at $3.19 and ran to $4.60 by 9:34am ET, a 44.2% open-to-high move that then completely round-tripped — it closed at $2.65, down 16.9% from the open, retaining -38% of the move (the close sat below the open).
The trader caught the early piece well, +$1.28k at 9:31am ET and another +$948.79 at 10:15am ET, but then took a -$1.31k loss at 10:25am ET trying to extend the trade past the point where the move had already turned. Net on EZRA the day was still positive, but the shape shows the stock offered its real move in the first four minutes after the open and gave nothing back after — everything traded past 10am was fighting a fading stock.
STKH was the other name with real substance and it was traded cleanly: it opened at $2.38, hit $4.75 by 10:05am ET (a 99.6% move, with a halt on the way), and closed at $2.78, holding just 17% of the move. Despite that low retention, the trader's single fill there was a +$1.48k winner at 10:02am ET, right near the top of the run — a case of extracting a real share of a big, fast move rather than getting caught in the give-back.
Between STKH and EZRA the day's two most productive names both made their highs before 10:30am ET, and the trader's best dollars came from being in early on both, not from riding them into the afternoon.
The other side of the ledger was ENSC, held overnight into a 5:22pm ET fill for a -$1.06k loss — a name that ultimately ran 196.9% from open to high but retained only 7% of that by the printed close, and by the time of this fill the move had already mostly evaporated. Across the full 61-position day the net was a modest +$1.99k on a 52.5% dollar win rate, built from small, high-frequency trading rather than concentrated conviction in the day's few genuine multi-hundred-percent runners — DFNS moved 68.9% and held 68% of it into the close, RAIN moved 327.6% intraday but gave almost all of it back (3% retained), and CYAB and SGLY each moved 100%+ with single-digit retention; none of these were traded.
That's a day where the size of the opportunity in the market outpaced what was captured, even though the trader's own P&L was still positive.
Looking at the last week of runners together, the pattern around retention is fairly stark: DFNS alone has shown up four separate days in this window with pctOfMoveRetained ranging from 4% to 68%, and its higher-retention days (68% on 8/3, 43% on 7/27) came with the largest dollar volumes ($759M and $794M respectively), while its weakest holds (4% on 7/30, 19% on 7/29) came on lower-volume days — suggesting the strength of the move, not just its size, tracked with how much survived into the close. Across the broader set, moves that topped before 10am — EZRA, HYFM, NUWE, VSEE, STKH on 7/30 — mostly gave back 30% or more by the close, five of six posting negative retention, while later-day toppers like DFNS (14:11), PN (15:58), and BIYA (17:59) held 40–90%.
The trader's EZRA fill fits the early-topper/fade profile exactly — bought right at the top of its 9:34am high and then caught on the wrong side of the give-back an hour later — while the STKH trade, despite that stock's own low retention, was the one position that matched a fast early move rather than fighting its fade."}