2026-08-04 · 4 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-08-04.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 71 | +$4692.62 | +6.05R | +0.085R | 45.7% | 1.47 |
| − single best + single worst | 69 | +$2891.70 | +3.73R | +0.054R | 45.6% | 1.32 |
| − top 4 + bottom 4 (≈5% each tail) | 63 | +$812.54 | +1.05R | +0.017R | 45.2% | 1.12 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed AMIX +$2842.90 (best) · AMIX −$1041.98 (worst). Top 4 + bottom 4 — removed 4 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Top-heavy green session: most of the P&L came from a handful of outsized trades; the broader distribution was only modestly plus-EV. Real but concentrated edge.
Session verdict
{"dayVerdict":"AMIX was the entire day. Autonomix opened at $5.38 and ran to a high of $24.68 at 3:44pm ET — a 358.7% open-to-high move that held 73% of itself into the close at $19.50, one of the stronger closes-relative-to-high on today's list.
The trader worked it repeatedly and it accounted for essentially all of the day's material trades: +$2.84k at 1:08pm, +$1.80k at 11:53am, +$1.62k at 11:17am, +$1.09k at 12:40pm, and +$780 at 3:33pm, against a -$1.04k loss at 12:11pm and a -$831 loss at 11:05am. Net, five of the six trades on this single ticker were winners, and the two losses came from re-entries into a stock that kept climbing rather than from being on the wrong side of the actual move — a case of capturing a large share of a genuinely rare 358% intraday run rather than the more common outcome of a big mover getting round-tripped away from the trader.
Outside AMIX the day was thin and the one other material position, TNMG, was a clean miss: it opened at $0.779, spent the morning climbing to $0.999 by 7:23am, then collapsed to close at $0.4757 — a move that gave back 138% of its open-to-high gain (closing below the open). The trader's -$926.77 loss there at 9:30am ET came right as that stock's early strength was already unwinding.
With 71 total positions on the day but only eight clearing 1R in either direction, the bulk of the ledger was small-stakes activity around a single dominant winner; this was a day where nearly all of the real dollars sat in one name that offered a large, partially-held move, and the trader captured most of it.
The opportunity cost was limited: among the other names that moved sharply today, ADGM gapped 31.9% and ran to $1.13 (an 88.1% open-to-high move) before giving back most of it to close up only 33.2% from the open (38% retained), and MOVE spiked 33.2% intraday only to close down 26.9% from the open (-81% retained) — neither offered a cleaner opportunity than what AMIX gave, and the trader wasn't in either.
Looking at the trailing week, the pattern in which moves held versus bled is visible in the afternoon-high names versus the premarket ones: DFNS made its high at 14:11 ET on 8/3 and retained 68% of its 68.9% move; PN topped at 15:58 on 7/30 and kept 91% of a smaller 17.8% move; by contrast, names that topped before the open or in the first hour — ENSC (04:00 high, -23% retained), ELPW (04:03, 3% retained), DXST (04:33, -47% retained), TNMG itself (07:23, -138% retained) — gave back most or all of their gains by the close. Seven of the ten runners with highs after 1:00pm this week held 20% or more of their move, versus only two of the eight premarket toppers.
AMIX's 3:44pm high and 73% retention fits squarely in the afternoon-holder profile the week has been showing, while TNMG's 7:23am high and total round trip fits the premarket-bleeder side precisely — the trader's one loss of the day was the day's textbook fader, and the day's winner was the textbook holder."}