2026-07-31 · 4 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-07-31.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 48 | +$7633.71 | +11.18R | +0.233R | 51.1% | 2.70 |
| − single best + single worst | 46 | +$6013.55 | +8.80R | +0.191R | 51.1% | 2.65 |
| − top 3 + bottom 3 (≈5% each tail) | 42 | +$4176.66 | +6.12R | +0.146R | 51.2% | 2.61 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed FCUV +$2458.84 (best) · FCUV −$838.69 (worst). Top 3 + bottom 3 — removed 3 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Broad green session: still clearly green after trimming the biggest movers, so the day was a stack of small plus-EV decisions compounding — not a few home runs.
Session verdict
{"dayVerdict":"This was essentially a one-stock day, and the stock was FCUV. It gapped 443.6% and ran from an open of $10.22 to a high of $17.59 by 9:56am ET — a 72.1% open-to-high move — before settling to close at $13.38, retaining 43% of that move.
The trader was in it six times, five winners and one loser, for a combined +$5.61k: +$2.46k at 12:45pm, +$1.74k at 2:24pm, +$1.16k at 1:48pm, +$1.08k at 9:39am, and +$1.01k at 1:38pm, against a single -$838.69 loss at 10:49am. Given the high printed before 10am and the stock spent the rest of the day drifting down off that level with 4 halts along the way, working it repeatedly through midday and into the afternoon and pulling five separate winners out of a name that had already made its high hours earlier is a real capture of a move that most of the day's other volatility couldn't match — FCUV's 72.1% open-to-high was the largest of any runner today by a wide margin.
Outside of FCUV, the trader's exposure was effectively zero, and the other names available today mostly didn't hold anyway. FMFC moved 419.1% open-to-high but kept only 30% of it into the close; CIGL ran 161.7% and kept 23%; LFS moved 77.9% and kept just 8%; ZBAO gave up its whole move and then some, closing at -53% retained.
Of the nine runners in today's pack, only FCUV finished with a retained percentage above 40%, and it's the one the trader was actually in. Net day P&L was +$7.63k on 48 positions with a 50% win rate but a 2.70 profit factor — average win $505 against average loss -$195 — which is consistent with a day where the size of the wins, not their frequency, did the work, and FCUV is where nearly all of that skew sits: five of the six trades marked as ≥1R for the day are FCUV longs.
The one clean loss of the day was also FCUV, -$838.69 at 10:49am, roughly an hour after the 9:56am high — a reasonable spot to get caught if the stock was already rolling over from its peak, and it didn't stop the trader from re-engaging the name three more times profitably later in the day.
Looking across the last week of runners, the split between holders and bleeders tracks float and dollar volume more than move size: FCUV itself, with a 0.6M float and $1.098B in dollar volume today, is one of the smaller-float, heaviest-traded names in the whole set and one of the few that held over 40% of its move. Compare that to CIGL (35.3M float, $58M dollar volume, 23% retained) and ZEO (41M float, $28.3M dollar volume, closing negative on the move) — both sub-$60M dollar-volume names with much larger floats that gave back essentially everything.
DFNS across three sessions this week (7/27, 7/28, 7/29) with a sub-1M float and $700M–$984M dollar volume days retained 43%, 22%, and 19% of large moves respectively — inconsistent, but never a total washout. The trader's only real position today, FCUV, sits squarely in the small-float, high-dollar-volume profile that has been the more durable one this week, and the trading matched that profile rather than chasing the larger-float names that mostly bled out by the close."}