2026-07-20 · 5 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-07-20.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 55 | +$6191.02 | +12.26R | +0.223R | 49.1% | 2.08 |
| − single best + single worst | 53 | +$3043.47 | +6.03R | +0.114R | 49.1% | 1.69 |
| − top 3 + bottom 3 (≈5% each tail) | 49 | +$2390.03 | +4.73R | +0.097R | 49.0% | 1.73 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed ZYBT +$4501.28 (best) · ADVB −$1353.72 (worst). Top 3 + bottom 3 — removed 3 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Broad green session: still clearly green after trimming the biggest movers, so the day was a stack of small plus-EV decisions compounding — not a few home runs.
Session verdict
{"dayVerdict":"Today's session ran almost entirely through ZYBT, and it was the correct name to concentrate on. Five fills in ZYBT combined for roughly +$5.85k, anchored by an 8.91R long at 3:14pm ET worth $4.50k and a second add at 11:10am ET worth $996.89, with only one -$517.73 loss at 11:36am ET breaking the string.
ZYBT itself doesn't carry an open/high/close print in today's data, but the close of $8.01 and $336.6M in dollar volume on a 4.4M float point to a name that was moving hard all session, and the trader caught the bulk of it rather than a token slice — this is a case of a real mover being traded well, not just often.
BIYA and ADVB were the other two names touched, and they show the other side of the coin. BIYA opened $7.78, made its high of $9.89 at 10:49am ET (+27.1% open-to-high), then collapsed to $3.51 at the close — a retained move of -202%, one of the ugliest fades in the whole week's data — yet the trader's single BIYA fill at 10:33am ET, ahead of the top, closed out +$766.41.
That's extracting money from a stock that gave almost all of it back to the market by the close, which is the harder skill. ADVB was the opposite: it opened $6.71, ran to $9.42 by 3:23pm ET, and held 81% of that move into the close (close $8.90) — a real, sustained runner — but the trader's two ADVB fills, at 10:25am and 11:03am ET, lost a combined -$1.94k.
The stock did its job; the entries into it didn't.
At the day level, this was one stock (ZYBT) trading heavily and well, one holder-type mover (ADVB) traded at a loss despite it doing exactly what a good runner should do, and one bleeder (BIYA) traded for a gain despite the stock ultimately giving back over 200% of its move. Net, the day cleared $6.19k on 55 positions with a 2.08 profit factor, well above the trailing 7-day pace of -$1.16k over 233 fills and the prior-30-day stretch of -$16.19k over 924 fills — a clear step up from the recent run, driven almost entirely by getting the size and timing right in ZYBT rather than by a broad improvement across names.
Two other runners today — BXBL (+51.9% open-to-high, but -28% retained by the close after an overnight top at 5:01am) and SDOT (only +9.9% open-to-high) — were not traded, but neither offered anything close to what ZYBT did, so the opportunity cost sits mainly in what wasn't chased, not in what was missed.
Across the trailing week, the pattern in pctOfMoveRetained keeps splitting along when the high happened and how much bled afterward: STAK (open-to-high +107.5%, retained 64%, high at 12:04pm), SOBR on both 7/13 and 7/15 (retained 64% and 41%, highs at 1:57pm and 9:45am), and QTTB (retained 65%, high at 7:01am) all held over half their moves, while single-digit-to-negative retainers like UBXG (-152%), RUBI (-139%), and NXTC (-87%) all made their highs in the morning session and gave back almost everything by the close. Eight of the twelve names with opening moves over 100% (VEEE 7/13 at +235%, CPHI at +168.3%, TGHL 7/15 at +128.9%, VMAR at +85.1%, PLSM at +152.4%, SHPH 7/13 at +107.6%, LGHL at +157.2%, VSA at +104.5%) closed retaining less than 20% of the move, underscoring that huge opening spikes without a later catalyst tend to bleed hard.
ADVB's 81% retention today and its 3:23pm high time put it squarely in the holder camp with STAK and QTTB — and it's notable that the only loss-making name of the day was the one that best fit the profile the trader should want to hold longer, while BIYA, a repeat bleeder both this week (7/17: retained -4%) and today (-202%), was the one that produced a gain."}