2026-07-17 · 4 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-07-17.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 14 | −$929.97 | -1.80R | -0.129R | 21.4% | 0.47 |
| − single best + single worst | 12 | −$1046.44 | -2.03R | -0.169R | 16.7% | 0.19 |
| − top 1 + bottom 1 (≈5% each tail) | 12 | −$1046.44 | -2.03R | -0.169R | 16.7% | 0.19 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed SNDK +$596.47 (best) · SLND −$480.00 (worst). Top 1 + bottom 1 — removed 1 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Note: at this session size the 5% tails round to a single trade each, so the two trim rows converge to the same numbers. They diverge on busier sessions (≥ 20 trades).
Broad-based red session: the loss is still there after trimming the biggest movers — this wasn't one bad trade, it was the whole book tilted the wrong way.
Session verdict
{"dayVerdict":"The one trade that worked today was SNDK, a long at 10:04am ET that returned +$596.47, or +1.16R — the day's only material (|R|≥1) position. Everything else was small-size activity that bled: 13 more fills combined for roughly -$1.53k against that single winner, producing a 21.4% win rate on 14 positions and a profit factor of 0.47.
Six of the fourteen fills sat in the $1-2 range and together lost -$848.79 with a 0% win rate — that bucket alone explains most of the day's damage, while six trades in stocks priced $100+ (including SNDK) netted only -$113.97 despite one of them being the day's best trade, meaning the other five in that group gave back almost all of SNDK's gain.\n\nNone of today's real movers were traded. SDOT opened at $21.94 and hit $30.97 by 12:28pm ET, a 41.2% move that held 37% of itself into a $25.30 close — untouched.
VEEE ran 38.7% to a 9:51am high before giving it all back and closing red, and TRUG, BIYA, CJMB, PMAX, JLHL and SLND rounded out eight runners today with opens-to-high moves of 6.6% to 41.2%, none of which appear in the fills. That's eight runners today moving between roughly 7% and 41% from the open, and the trading was concentrated instead in smaller, choppier names in the $1-2 and low-teens range that didn't offer comparable size — a day where the opportunity was in a handful of double-digit percent movers and the fills were mostly elsewhere.\n\nThe day-level picture is a mismatch: one properly-timed early trade in SNDK captured a real gain, then the rest of the session was spent absorbing losses in names that were not among the day's bigger movers, on a day when at least two stocks (SDOT and VEEE) moved 38-41% intraday.
Net -$929.97 on 14 positions with an average loss of -$160.81 against an average win of $279.64 reflects a session where the few winners were outnumbered nearly 3-to-1 by losers of lesser individual size but greater combined frequency.\n\nAcross the trailing week, the split between holders and bleeders lines up with when the high happened and how large the move was. STAK (7/16, high 12:04pm, retained 64%), ATPC (high 4:00am, retained 53%), CPHI (high 12:15pm, retained 50%, 3 halts), SUNE (high 12:05pm, retained 66%) and SOBR on both 7/13 and 7/15 (retained 64% and 41%) were among the names that kept over 40% of their move, and five of those six made their highs at 12:00pm or later.
By contrast, moves that topped before 9am — VIVS (8:07am, -30%), ERNA (8:02am, -41%), RUBI (8:31am, -139%), UBXG (9:50am, -152%) and NXTC (7:15am, -87%) — mostly gave back all or more than all of the gain by the close. SNDK's own high came at 10:04am with the position exited near the top of that move, closer to the early-fade profile than the afternoon-holder pattern, which makes the timing of that single win more notable: it was taken early and correctly, in contrast to the broader week's tendency for early highs to bleed out.","}