2026-08-31 · 4 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-08-31.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 53 | −$1002.40 | -1.21R | -0.023R | 50.9% | 0.78 |
| − single best + single worst | 51 | −$1119.83 | -1.35R | -0.026R | 51.0% | 0.73 |
| − top 3 + bottom 3 (≈5% each tail) | 47 | −$798.62 | -0.96R | -0.020R | 51.1% | 0.75 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed WETO +$615.82 (best) · AEHL −$498.38 (worst). Top 3 + bottom 3 — removed 3 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Broad-based red session: the loss is still there after trimming the biggest movers — this wasn't one bad trade, it was the whole book tilted the wrong way.
Session verdict
{"dayVerdict":"Today's 53 fills produced -$1.00k on a 50.9% win rate with an average win of $135 against an average loss of $178.77 — again a day with no material trade in either direction, meaning every dollar came from small, offsetting decisions rather than one capture defining the session. The market context list for 2026-08-31 shows only eight tickers, and none of them show up as a clean, large-scale runner comparable to what traded in the prior week: CLGN opened at 0.38 and hit 0.96 by 10:19am, a 152.6% open-to-high move, but gave essentially all of it back, closing at 0.3879 for 1% retained.
WETO moved 94.2% into a 10:58am high at 14.00 and closed at 5.48, actually finishing below its open (-24% open-to-close, -25% retained). AIM is the extreme case: it barely moved off its open (2.7% to a 09:25 high) before collapsing to 0.226, a -39% open-to-close swing that produced a nonsensical -1449% retention figure — essentially a stock that never offered a real move and then broke down anyway.
None of these eight names offered the kind of durable, holdable move (CELU's 129.7% open-to-high with 69% retained on 8/27, or DAIC's 479.5% move on 8/24) that turned recent sessions into standout days.
Given that backdrop, the day's outcome — a loss just under $1k spread across 53 small trades — reads as roughly proportionate to what was actually available: this was a day of thin, reversal-prone moves (CLGN and AIM both erased their gains completely, WETO went negative on the day) rather than a day of big opportunity traded poorly. With no single position worth even 1R and $135 average wins against $178.77 average losses, the day's math is a function of the moves themselves not holding rather than a case of a trader missing a real move sitting in front of them.
Across the trailing week, the split between holders and bleeders lines up with float and follow-through: XPON on 8/26 kept 51% of an 84.2% move, DAIC on 8/24 kept just 13% of a huge 479.5% move despite 22 halts, and CELU on 8/27 kept 69% of a 129.7% move — three of the largest, most-retained trailing-week moves came from names with sub-10M floats and dollar volume above $300M. By contrast, faders like MIMI (-102% retained), PPCB (-138% retained), and AIM today all round-tripped intraday moves under roughly $150M in dollar volume with less follow-through after the initial spike.
Today's own names — CLGN at $126M dollar volume and a 10:19am high that fully reversed, and AIM's outright breakdown — fit the fader profile far more than the holder profile, consistent with a session where the moves on offer simply didn't have the staying power the week's bigger winners showed."}