2026-08-18 · 4 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-08-18.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 19 | +$2513.61 | +3.24R | +0.170R | 52.6% | 1.77 |
| − single best + single worst | 17 | +$2081.54 | +2.68R | +0.158R | 52.9% | 1.92 |
| − top 1 + bottom 1 (≈5% each tail) | 17 | +$2081.54 | +2.68R | +0.158R | 52.9% | 1.92 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed SLE +$1440.07 (best) · PFSA −$1008.00 (worst). Top 1 + bottom 1 — removed 1 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Note: at this session size the 5% tails round to a single trade each, so the two trim rows converge to the same numbers. They diverge on busier sessions (≥ 20 trades).
Broad green session: still clearly green after trimming the biggest movers, so the day was a stack of small plus-EV decisions compounding — not a few home runs.
Session verdict
{"dayVerdict":"PFSA was today's monster move — open $8.82 to a high of $32.82 at 4:12pm, +272%, and it held 78% of that into the close at $27.48, one of the stickiest holds of any runner in the last week. You traded it twice: a $1.00k winner at 9:41am (+1.29R) buying into the early stage of the move, then a -$1.01k loss at 10:04am (-1.30R) trying it again as it was already extended.
Net you took roughly $0 combined out of the single biggest, best-holding mover of the day — a name that offered over $20 of range and stayed largely bid, and your net exposure to it round-tripped to breakeven. SLE was the other material trade: it moved a modest +18.5% off the open to a 9:35am high before giving back all of it and closing down 11.6% from the open, and your 9:17am short caught +1.85R ($1.44k) of that fade — the single best trade of the day, and it came in a name that only moved a sixth as much as PFSA did.
That contrast is the day in miniature: the smaller, weaker mover was where you extracted the clean win, while the largest move of the day was traded to a wash.
Beyond those two, the other 16 fills were sub-1R and did not move the needle much either way, netting the day to $2.51k on 19 trades with a 52.6% win rate — a day where the real dollars came from two positions in two names, not from broad participation. Nine other stocks today moved 20% or more from open to high — AIXC (+266%), CDTG (+188%), EJH (+104%), and six more — and none of them were in your fills; that's a real opportunity-cost pile, though most of them (AIXC 20% retained, CDTG 6%, EJH 9%) gave back almost everything they gained by the close, so the missed dollars there were thinner than the headline percentages suggest.
Looking at the trailing week, the pattern around what holds versus what bleeds is stark: FGI (Aug 13) kept 28% of a +135% move, MDXH kept 38% of +86%, BOXL on the 12th kept 62% of +117%, and now PFSA kept 78% of +272% — all sizable dollar-volume names ($295M-$1.16B traded) with highs made well after the open (11:31am, 3:31pm, 4:12pm). Against that, premarket or early-morning toppers — TRUG (4:02am high, -9% retained on the 17th, then -89% retained today), EJH (4:00am high, 9% retained), WFF (4:23am high, -58% retained) — gave almost none of their move back to holders.
Your PFSA entries sit squarely in the holder camp by profile, which is exactly why the position that stayed with it into the afternoon (the 9:41am long) worked, while the later add against an already-extended, still-rising stock turned into the loss."}