2026-08-13 · 4 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-08-13.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 48 | −$3350.97 | -4.43R | -0.092R | 37.5% | 0.66 |
| − single best + single worst | 46 | −$1896.09 | -2.50R | -0.054R | 37.0% | 0.74 |
| − top 3 + bottom 3 (≈5% each tail) | 42 | −$1252.07 | -1.65R | -0.039R | 35.7% | 0.74 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed FGI +$1044.12 (best) · DFSC −$2499.00 (worst). Top 3 + bottom 3 — removed 3 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Broad-based red session: the loss is still there after trimming the biggest movers — this wasn't one bad trade, it was the whole book tilted the wrong way.
Session verdict
{"dayVerdict":"XHG and DFSC both opened the day and both burned the trader in the same way — jumping in early on names that made their highs almost immediately and then gave everything back. XHG opened at $5.80, hit $18.08 by 8:36am ET (a 211.7% open-to-high move), and finished at $4.10, closing below the open — retaining none of the move, in fact bleeding 14% past it.
The trader's 9:10am long lost $1.29k (-1.70R), while a 9:30am entry, right near the top of the whole move, caught $1.04k (+1.37R) — a mixed result on a stock that offered one of the largest intraday ranges of the entire week. DFSC was worse: it opened at $2.58, topped at $3.57 by 9:45am (+38.4%), and collapsed to $2.31, giving back 27% past the open.
Both DFSC entries, at 9:35am and 9:50am, were long into that decline, costing $2.50k and $1.36k — nearly $3.9k of the day's losses came from a stock whose entire tradeable move was over inside its first fifteen minutes.
FGI was the one real offset. It opened at $8.47 and ran to $19.93 by 12:37pm (+135.3%), holding into the close at $11.72 for 28% of the move retained — a genuine afternoon holder rather than a fast fade.
The trader's two FGI longs, at 11:54am and 12:34pm, both landed on the right side, for $1.04k and $963.62. That's the one stock today where the trader read the move correctly and captured a fair share of it; the other two produced losses in stocks that mostly gave their gains back before the entries even had a chance.
Net for the day was -$3.35k across 48 positions, with three losing trades north of 1.7R against three winners in the 1.27–1.38R range — no trade reached 2R in either direction, which for a day built around a 211% mover and a 135% mover is a thin outcome relative to what was actually on the board of names traded. Seven other runners today moved at least 30% from the open and none of them were touched.
Across the trailing week, the split between holders and bleeders lines up with float and timing more than anything else. BOXL (float 0.6M) held 62% of its 116.6% move with a 3:31pm high; RDGT (float 3.8M, 5 halts) held 28% of a 137.7% move with a 12:58pm high; FGI itself, with a 0.5M float, held 28% of its move.
Against that, OFAL on 8/12 gave back 94% of a 49.2% move with a sub-10am high, WXM gave back 88% of a smaller move, and GLE gave back 130%, wiping out and then some — all three made their highs before 9:30am. Of the eleven runners in this set with highs before 9:45am, eight retained under 15% of their gains; of the four with highs after 11am, three retained 20% or more.
XHG and DFSC both fit the early-high, high-bleed pattern precisely — highs at 8:36am and 9:45am, retentions of -14% and -27% — while FGI's 12:37pm high and 28% retention put it squarely in the group that holds. The trader's losses concentrated in the fast, early fades and the win concentrated in the one afternoon holder, consistent with the pattern across the week."}