2026-07-14 · 4 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-07-14.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 23 | +$1067.92 | +2.07R | +0.090R | 47.8% | 1.50 |
| − single best + single worst | 21 | +$707.42 | +1.37R | +0.065R | 47.6% | 1.48 |
| − top 2 + bottom 2 (≈5% each tail) | 19 | +$558.44 | +1.08R | +0.057R | 47.4% | 1.58 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed LGHL +$992.92 (best) · NXTC −$632.42 (worst). Top 2 + bottom 2 — removed 2 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Broad green session: still clearly green after trimming the biggest movers, so the day was a stack of small plus-EV decisions compounding — not a few home runs.
Session verdict
{"dayVerdict":"LGHL was today's biggest mover by far, gapping to open at $2.29 and running 157% to a high of $5.89 at 10:09am ET, then giving nearly all of it back to close at $2.42 — just 4% of the open-to-high move retained. Your LGHL long at 10:01am ET, right near that high, still returned +$992.92, the best trade of the day, which means you extracted a real share of a move that most holders would have watched evaporate.
UBXG offered a smaller but still substantial 32% move to a high of $11.95 at 9:50am ET before collapsing to $4.61 at the close, a move so violent it retained -152% (the close finished below the open). You traded UBXG twice: a 9:50am long that lost $523.66 — buying essentially at the top tick of the session for that name — and a 10:20am long that made $672.64, catching some of the bounce.
NXTC gapped to $9.24, ran 33% to $12.30 by 7:15am ET premarket, and then bled to $6.58 by the close (-87% retained); your 9:37am long lost $632.42, a losing bet on a stock that had already made its real high hours before you entered.
Across the four material trades, the shape is two clean wins in the names that offered genuine intraday continuation (LGHL, and one UBXG entry) against two losses in names bought into or after their volatility had already turned — NXTC well after its premarket high, UBXG right at its peak. Net for the day was +$1.07k on 23 positions, with the 9:30-10:00am window carrying 11 of those fills for a net -$449 despite a 54.5% win rate there, while the single 10:00-10:30am window (7 trades) produced +$1.78k — the LGHL and one UBXG win both landed in that window.
Three other runners today — VMAR, PMI, and BJDX — moved between 36% and 85% from their opens and you didn't trade any of them, though none of those three held their moves either (VMAR retained -32%, PMI -38%, BJDX -40%), so the opportunity cost there looks smaller than the raw percentages suggest.
Looking at the trailing week, the retention pattern is stark: CLRO (72% intraday move, 62% retained, 3 halts), TVRD on both 7/7 and 7/8 (56% and 72% retained), SOBR (65% retained) and VEEE (44% retained, 1 halt) all held over 40% of their moves, and every one of them made its high in the afternoon or later — 12:20pm to 4:27pm ET. By contrast, ONFO, VRAX, RKTO, LHAI (7/14), and HAO all retained under -70% of their opening moves, and four of those five made highs before 10am ET.
Today's session fits that pattern closely: LGHL and UBXG both made their highs before 10:10am ET and both gave back the overwhelming majority of their moves by the close, meaning the stocks you traded today were drawn from the morning-high, fade-heavy cohort rather than the afternoon-high, holder cohort — and your net profit came from timing entries and exits inside that fade rather than from picking stocks built to hold gains."}