2026-07-13 · 4 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-07-13.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 104 | −$605.27 | -1.16R | -0.011R | 47.6% | 0.95 |
| − single best + single worst | 102 | +$2394.30 | +4.59R | +0.045R | 47.5% | 1.34 |
| − top 6 + bottom 6 (≈5% each tail) | 92 | +$1395.58 | +2.67R | +0.029R | 47.3% | 1.30 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed VEEE +$1533.99 (best) · VEEE −$4533.55 (worst). Top 6 + bottom 6 — removed 6 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Outlier-driven red session: without the worst trade (or the bottom 5%), the rest of the book was roughly flat-to-green. The damage was concentrated — underlying behavior was fine.
Session verdict
VEEE opened at $12.24 and made a 235% move to a high of $41 at 4:27pm ET, closing at $24.86 and retaining 44% of the open-to-high range. It generated $1.49 billion in dollar volume with one halt, and it was the only name that mattered today — you made 7 material trades in it and your net result across all VEEE activity was approximately -$700.
Two other runners today moved +60% or more from their opens; you did not trade either of them.
The 9:46am VEEE long, which cost $4,530, is the entire story of today's loss. At that point the stock was in the $10-15 range near its open, and the position went against you for a loss that exceeded the full-session deficit approximately seven times over.
Everything that followed was recovery. From 10:24am through 1:25pm, five consecutive VEEE trades produced a combined gain of roughly $4,405 — a $614 long at 10:24am, a $618 short at 11:30am, a $1,120 long at 12:42pm, a $1,530 long at 12:55pm, and a $523 short at 1:25pm.
The afternoon longs in particular show accurate directional reads while VEEE was moving through the $20-30 range toward its eventual high. A 4:35pm VEEE long in the $30-50 range then cost $573, reducing the recovery.
After including smaller non-material VEEE fills and the rest of the book, the session closed at -$605.
SHPH closed the regular session at $2.96 — essentially flat from its $2.89 open — but spiked to $6 in after-hours, making its high at 6:36pm ET. You entered long at 6:05pm with the stock already trading in the $5-10 range and lost $559.
The stock retained only 2% of its open-to-high move. Your entry was 31 minutes before the spike; the move did not extend, and the close at $2.96 confirms the after-hours move was entirely unsupported.
The stock has a 1.1M float and moved on a Dogecoin-related acquisition announcement, so it was the right profile — the problem was that at $5-10 the stock was already more than doubling its open price, with the close revealing there was nothing structural beneath that level.
Across the last seven days, the separation between runners that held their gains and those that surrendered them is almost entirely a function of when the high occurred. Every runner that made its high before 10am ET — five names — retained under 20% of the open-to-high move; four of those five closed below the open.
Six runners made their highs at 11am ET or later; five of those six retained 44% or more. Float ranged from 0.9M to 19.1M shares across the afternoon-high group, so float alone does not explain the pattern — the timing of the high is the cleaner separator.
VEEE's 4:27pm high (44% retained) sits cleanly in the afternoon-holder group. SHPH's 6:36pm high (2% retained) behaves like the premarket toppers that surrender everything — the clock reads later, but the dynamic is the same: a spike with no close to anchor it.
The 4:00-4:30pm ET window has been green 8 of 10 days over the last 20 sessions, +$5,411 cumulative. Today's result in that window was +$477, consistent with the pattern.
The 4:35pm VEEE long that cost $573 falls five minutes later in the 4:30-5:00pm window, which over the same 20 sessions is green only 2 of 5 days and sits at -$849 total. The distinction is narrow on the clock but meaningful in the data.