2026-05-22 · 3 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-05-22.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 93 | +$1789.53 | +2.84R | +0.031R | 45.2% | 1.41 |
| − single best + single worst | 91 | +$1607.66 | +2.55R | +0.028R | 45.1% | 1.40 |
| − top 5 + bottom 5 (≈5% each tail) | 83 | +$854.88 | +1.36R | +0.016R | 44.6% | 1.28 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed RYOJ +$533.12 (best) · AKTX −$351.25 (worst). Top 5 + bottom 5 — removed 5 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Broad green session: still clearly green after trimming the biggest movers, so the day was a stack of small plus-EV decisions compounding — not a few home runs.
Session verdict
Today's session netted $1.79k with 93 positions, reflecting a win rate of 45.2%, which is below the baseline of 47.3%. The absence of any material trades (|R| ≥ 1R) indicates that the day's performance relied on many small decisions rather than a few significant winners.
Your average win was $146.36, while the average loss was -$85.44, yielding a reward:risk ratio of 1.71:1. The win rate in the $0.50–1.00 price bucket was 43.8%, which contributed $1.24k but still fell short of the breakeven win rate of 36.9%.
Significance and conceptual math
The session's win rate of 45.2% is statistically similar to the baseline win rate of 47.3%, with a z-score of -0.417 indicating no significant change. You maintained an expected return of 0.031R, consistent with the baseline.
However, the recent trend shows a decline in win rate over the last 7 days at 44.3%, down from 46.8% in the prior 30 days, suggesting a potential shift in your trading effectiveness. The profit factor decreased from 1.23 to 1.06 over the same periods, highlighting a reduction in the quality of trades.
What you might have missed
Despite the overall win rate being below the baseline, your performance in the $5–10 price bucket was strong, achieving a win rate of 53.8% with 13 trades. This indicates that there may be untapped potential in higher price ranges that could be further explored.
One thing to try next session
Focus on increasing your position size in the $5–10 price bucket, where you had a higher win rate, and consider refining your strategy for smaller price buckets that are currently underperforming.