2026-05-20 · 3 min read
Session edge, AI coach verdict, and running P&L for 2026-05-20.
Trim Review
How much of today's result was carried by a few outliers? The table recomputes the core session stats with the biggest movers removed. Trimmed rows are colored vs baseline: green = holds most of the move, amber = meaningful erosion, red = collapses or flips sign.
| Scenario | Trades | Net P&L | Total R | E[R] / trade | $ WR | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (all trades) | 68 | −$4086.68 | -6.22R | -0.091R | 38.2% | 0.68 |
| − single best + single worst | 66 | −$3151.38 | -4.80R | -0.073R | 37.9% | 0.71 |
| − top 4 + bottom 4 (≈5% each tail) | 60 | −$1240.62 | -1.89R | -0.031R | 36.7% | 0.82 |
Trimmed trades: Single best + single worst — removed HCWB +$916.73 (best) · HCWB −$1852.03 (worst). Top 4 + bottom 4 — removed 4 from each tail (by $ P&L).
Broad-based red session: the loss is still there after trimming the biggest movers — this wasn't one bad trade, it was the whole book tilted the wrong way.
Session verdict
Today's net P&L of -$4.09k is significantly below the baseline average of $47.02k, indicating a clear deviation from your typical performance. The win rate of 38.2% is also lower than the baseline of 47.5%, suggesting that today's trades did not align with your usual edge.
The material trades count of 8, with 3 winners and 5 losers, highlights a struggle with execution, particularly in the $10–15 price bucket where you lost a total of -$930.06 across 12 trades. The largest losses came from the HCWB trades, which collectively accounted for -$3.62k, indicating a need to reassess your strategy within this price range.
Significance and conceptual math
Your average win of $332.99 versus an average loss of -$303.44 gives a reward:risk ratio of 1.10:1, which is just above breakeven but not sufficient for consistent profitability. The day’s win rate of 38.2% falls short of the breakeven WR of 47.7%, which further emphasizes the need for improvement in trade selection.
Comparing the last 7 days with a WR of 45.5% to today’s performance highlights a concerning drop of 7.3 percentage points. The profit factor of 0.68 today is considerably lower than the baseline of 1.18, indicating that your losses are outweighing your gains significantly.
What you might have missed
Despite the overall negative performance, you achieved a 100% win rate in the $5–10 price bucket, albeit with only 2 trades. This suggests that there may be specific opportunities within this range that could be further explored.
One thing to try next session
Consider focusing on the $5–10 price bucket for the next session, as it showed potential with a perfect win rate, and aim to increase the number of trades in this range while minimizing exposure to the $10–15 price bucket where losses were significant.