2025-12-16 · 5 min read
A qualitative run-through of every trade from 2025-12-16: setups, thought process, and outcomes.
I took a stab at AMCI early in the day, looking to capitalize on a sub vwap trap setup. My first entry was at 12.54, and I managed to exit at 12.64 for a profit of $501. The stock had shown some solid bids holding up, which gave me confidence to take the long. The move felt clean, and it was nice to see the follow-through right out of the gate.
However, I quickly hit a rough patch with AMCI. My next trade was another long at 11.88, but it quickly turned sour as sellers were aggressive, pushing the price down to 11.71. I cut that one for a loss of $607. The tape was heavy, and I should have recognized the shift in momentum sooner.
I tried to get back in on AMCI again at 12.53, and this time it worked out better. I exited at 12.75 for a gain of $611. The buyers were showing strength, and the stock held above the 1m9, which was encouraging. It felt like the stock was finding its footing, at least for that moment.
Then came the big hit. I entered AMCI at 13.45, thinking it was a solid setup for a sub vwap trap again. Unfortunately, the price collapsed to 11.91, and I took a massive loss of $16,290. The entry was extended above key moving averages, and once sellers started to dominate, it was a quick descent. This one stung hard.
After that, I shifted my focus to VMAR in the mid-morning. My first entry was at 1.02, and I took it off a sub vwap trap as well. I managed to exit at 1.20, netting $1,630. The stock had good volume and was moving nicely, so the trade felt solid.
I tried to ride the momentum with another entry at 1.22, but it didn’t hold. I exited at 1.18 for a small loss of $347. The tape showed some mixed signals, and I should have been more cautious with my size on this one.
I had a nice win with VMAR again at 1.15, exiting at 1.21 for a gain of $560. The setup felt good, and the buyers were stepping in, which was a relief after the earlier trades.
Later, I got caught in a washout long at 0.9385, but it didn’t hold as expected, and I took a loss of $1,128 as it dropped to 0.8525. This one was frustrating because the initial action seemed to indicate a reversal, but the sellers were heavy, and I didn’t manage my risk properly.
I had a brief moment of success with another washout long at 0.8474, exiting at 0.9025 for $810. It was a quick in-and-out, but it felt good to recover some losses. The stock eventually faded again, but I was able to capitalize on that initial bounce.
Back to AMCI, I took a long at 12.90 and exited at 13.00 for a small profit of $309. The tape was choppy, but I managed to catch a moment of strength.
I tried to push my luck again with AMCI at 13.42, exiting at 13.56 for a gain of $475. The stock showed some resilience, and I was fortunate to catch that move.
I followed it up with another entry at 13.62, getting out at 13.81 for $382. The bids were holding up well enough, and I managed to squeeze out a few more gains.
However, my luck turned again with a scalp trade entry at 14.05, which I exited at 13.86 for a loss of $534. The tape shifted quickly, and I had to react fast.
I tried again with a scalp at 13.60, but it dropped to 13.40, resulting in a loss of $654. The pressure from sellers was relentless, and I couldn’t hold onto that position.
Towards the end of the day, I took a washout long at 12.17, exiting at 12.34 for a gain of $577. The stock was showing some life, and I was glad to end on a positive note.
Finally, I took one last shot at AMCI at 14.74, but it didn’t work out. I had to cut it at 14.37 for an $808 loss. This was another reminder that not every setup will pan out, especially when the tape is indicating heavy seller pressure.
What I did well: I managed to capitalize on a few good setups with VMAR and AMCI, securing some gains.
What I did poorly: I let a couple of trades extend beyond my risk tolerance, particularly with AMCI, which led to significant losses.
Trading grade: D — I struggled to read the tape effectively and mismanaged risk on several trades.
Trade charts
Selected notable trades (by P&L) with time-of-day vs price (entry → exit).
AMCI 16:00:04 – 16:03:23 — P&L $-807.56
VMAR 11:50:00 – 11:50:14 — P&L $+809.82
VMAR 11:49:38 – 11:49:54 — P&L $-1127.82
VMAR 11:28:04 – 11:28:59 — P&L $+1629.64
AMCI 09:39:15 – 09:45:15 — P&L $-16290.12